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"People hate to think about bad things happening, so they always underestimate their likelihood."

Recession Growth Fund

Recession Risk Management Thesis  

2025 Macro Outlook

Deflationary pressures, subdued consumer spending, and persistently high interest rates are driving a surge in insolvencies.
The Canadian economy has entered a recession as of September 2024, and the U.S. is expected to face a deep recession by mid-2025.
Expect significant sell-offs in U.S. equities and crypto following the 2024 elections.
Looking ahead, stagflation and deglobalization will define the global economic landscape over the next decade.

Investment Focus

Distressed Portfolio Allocation 

  • Large-Scale Industrial and Commercial Insolvencies (No Real-Estate)

  • Acquiring assets through the insolvency process at 10-20% of their wholesale value

  • Acquiring assets from distressed companies at significant discounts, providing liquidity in challenging times.

Growth Portfolio Allocation 

  • Energy Infrastructure Service companies (Canada, USA)

  • Modern Logistics Infrastructure (IoT, UWB)

  • Battery Storage (TX,CA,NV)

  • Commercial Cargo E-bikes -Last mile transport

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