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"People hate to think about bad things happening, so they always underestimate their likelihood."

Recession Growth Fund

Recession Risk Management Thesis  

2025 Macro Outlook

Stagflation is re-emerging as weakened consumer spending and persistently high interest rates drive a rise in business distress. Canada entered recessionary conditions in September 2024, while forecasts suggest the U.S. faces an elevated risk of a deep downturn by mid-2025.

Post-2024 elections, market volatility is expected to intensify, affecting both traditional and digital assets. Stagflation and deglobalization are poised to redefine the global economic landscape, making strategic timing and decisive action more critical than ever.

Investment Focus

Distressed Portfolio Allocation 

  • Large-Scale Industrial and Commercial Insolvencies (No Real-Estate)

  • Acquiring assets through the insolvency process at 10-20% of their wholesale value

  • Acquiring assets from distressed companies at significant discounts, providing liquidity in challenging times.

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Growth Portfolio Allocation â€‹

  • Energy Infrastructure Service companies (Canada, USA)

  • Modern Logistics Infrastructure (IoT, UWB)

  • Battery Storage (TX,CA,NV)

  • Commercial Cargo E-bikes -Last mile transport

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